Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000601 0.000689 0.000784 0.000891 0.001010 0.001137 0.001283
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000448 0.000567 0.000704 0.000871 0.001067 0.001290 0.001560
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000376 0.000509 0.000669 0.000874 0.001124 0.001418 0.001787
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000325 0.000468 0.000647 0.000884 0.001184 0.001548 0.002017
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000272 0.000415 0.000603 0.000860 0.001196 0.001614 0.002165
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000228 0.000369 0.000561 0.000833 0.001199 0.001666 0.002294
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000201 0.000341 0.000540 0.000830 0.001231 0.001753 0.002469
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000178 0.000318 0.000523 0.000830 0.001264 0.001840 0.002644
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000156 0.000293 0.000500 0.000820 0.001282 0.001907 0.002793
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000135 0.000268 0.000475 0.000804 0.001290 0.001958 0.002920
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000125 0.000259 0.000474 0.000823 0.001347 0.002078 0.003143
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.000250 0.000471 0.000837 0.001397 0.002189 0.003356
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000101 0.000229 0.000449 0.000821 0.001403 0.002240 0.003488
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000209 0.000425 0.000801 0.001401 0.002277 0.003602
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000198 0.000416 0.000804 0.001433 0.002365 0.003788
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000190 0.000411 0.000813 0.001476 0.002468 0.003999
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000173 0.000388 0.000791 0.001466 0.002492 0.004096
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000156 0.000365 0.000765 0.001450 0.002507 0.004177
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000147 0.000356 0.000763 0.001472 0.002578 0.004344
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000139 0.000347 0.000763 0.001496 0.002653 0.004516
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000130 0.000335 0.000753 0.001504 0.002703 0.004653
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000032 0.000119 0.000320 0.000738 0.001502 0.002737 0.004763
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000030 0.000117 0.000322 0.000756 0.001556 0.002861 0.005015